about 1 month ago
Forbes Oct 4, 2026

NFL Week 4 Monday Night Football Best SGP Picks—Falcons At Saints

The Week 4 Monday Night Football game between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons presents an enticing betting opportunity with a five-leg same-game parlay (SGP) at +455 odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. Saints quarterback Tyler Shough has been excelling in an uptempo passing offense under coordinator Kellen Moore, averaging 305.7 passing yards per game. He faces a Falcons defense that has allowed 273.3 passing yards on average this season, making Shough’s 250+ passing yards an attractive pick. Wide receivers Chris Olave and tight end Juwan Johnson, both consistent yardage producers, also offer value as each has regularly exceeded 70 and 25 receiving yards per game, respectively, against a Falcons defense vulnerable to passing attacks.

Atlanta counters with dynamic offensive weapons of their own, notably running back Bijan Robinson, who ranks second in the NFL with 116.3 rushing yards per game through three weeks. Robinson’s combination of workload and efficiency highlights his ability to gain substantial yards on the ground, especially against a Saints defense that ranks fourth-worst in rushing yards allowed per game. Receiver Drake London is another key figure, having exploded for 194 receiving yards in his first game with starting quarterback Michael Penix, a connection that has historically produced strong results and figures to continue with a 70+ receiving yards projection on Monday night.

The contrast in offensive styles between the two teams is worth noting. The Saints lead the league in neutral pace and have a high pass rate over expected, setting a rapid and pass-heavy tone. Meanwhile, the Falcons also feature one of the league’s fastest paces and highest pass rate over expected percentages, which should lead to a high number of plays and increased yardage opportunities for their top offensive stars. This environment lends itself well to over-yardage bets, as both teams are likely to push the tempo and rack up significant stats.

For bettors looking to capitalize on this exciting matchup, the five-leg SGP focusing on yardage overs for Shough, Olave, Johnson, Robinson, and London combines their yardage potential at +455 odds. This parlay takes advantage of the Saints’ passing proficiency and Falcons’ explosive ground and aerial attack, making it a compelling play on a high-scoring and fast-paced Monday night game.

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