about 1 month ago
CNBC Oct 12, 2026

Why China is importing a record amount of gold — and what it means for prices

China is importing gold at unprecedented levels, driven by both central bank purchases and robust consumer demand amid economic uncertainty. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has bought gold for 23 consecutive months, including a significant addition of about 23 tonnes in September, marking its largest monthly purchase in nearly three years. Chinese consumers and businesses have also been actively acquiring gold as a safe haven, with imports exceeding 1,000 tonnes in the first eight months of 2026—surpassing the total imported in 2025. This surge comes despite a recent pullback in gold prices from record highs.

The PBOC’s motivation for increasing gold reserves largely stems from geopolitical and financial strategy concerns. With increased emphasis on reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar and diversifying foreign reserves, China is stepping away from U.S. Treasuries to protect assets from geopolitical risks, as evidenced by restrictions on Russia’s reserves following its invasion of Ukraine. Additionally, the challenging domestic economic environment—characterized by a depressed property market and weak stock performance—has spurred households and companies to seek gold as a reliable store of value, supported by reduced opportunity costs given China's relatively low interest rates.

This growing demand from China is playing a key role in sustaining gold prices amid global headwinds such as rising U.S. interest rates, which typically weigh on bullion demand. Analysts note that the continuous buying by China acts as a structural floor for gold prices, helping them remain resilient even as other influences push rates higher and increase pressure on non-yielding assets. The trend is expected to continue in the near term, fueled by Beijing’s strategic goals and strong local consumption, with price forecasts indicating a rebound to between $4,750 and $5,500 per troy ounce by early 2027.

Despite these aggressive acquisitions, China's official gold reserves of 2,387 tonnes still lag far behind those of the United States. Market watchers caution that any improvement in China’s real estate and equity markets, a weaker yuan, or rising local interest rates could dull appetite for gold. However, barring any major geopolitical shifts or reduced interest in reserve diversification by central banks, China’s gold demand is likely to remain a significant factor supporting global bullion prices.

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