For July 20, 2026, Forbes highlights two top MLB home run prop bets that offer valuable opportunities for bettors. Bryce Harper of the Philadelphia Phillies is favored to hit a home run at +330 odds, bolstered by his strong performance against right-handed pitchers and his home ballpark, Citizens Bank Park, which has a high home run park factor. Harper has hit 20 homers this season, with particular success hitting righties both overall and at home, making his matchup against Emmet Sheehan, a homer-prone right-handed pitcher, especially promising.
Harper's statistical profile supports his power potential; he ranks well among qualified batters in multiple metrics like barrels per plate appearance and exit velocity. Emmet Sheehan has allowed 15 home runs in 2026 and has a high home runs-per-nine-innings rate, making him vulnerable to giving up homers, especially to left-handed hitters like Harper. With Citizens Bank Park's reputation for favoring home runs, Harper’s chances, combined with the generous payout, make him a compelling pick for home run bettors.
The other recommended bet is on Ozzie Albies of the Atlanta Braves at +489 odds to hit a home run. Albies, a switch-hitting second baseman with 14 home runs this season, boasts solid numbers against left-handed pitching, including a 19.3% line-drive rate and a 40.3% fly-ball rate. His current matchup against JP Sears, a southpaw known for allowing home runs at both the Triple-A level and in the majors, enhances Albies’s chance to power a ball out of the park.
While Albies isn’t a leading home run hitter, his solid season and favorable matchup make the high payout tempting. Sears's 1.83 HR/9 rate and previous home runs allowed to right-handed batters underscore his susceptibility to the long ball. Together, these two bets provide intriguing options for home run prop bettors looking to capitalize on pitchers with homer-prone tendencies on July 20, 2026.
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