20 days ago
Forbes Jul 20, 2026

MLB Best Home Run Bets For July 20, 2026—Harper And Albies

For July 20, 2026, Forbes highlights two top MLB home run prop bets that offer valuable opportunities for bettors. Bryce Harper of the Philadelphia Phillies is favored to hit a home run at +330 odds, bolstered by his strong performance against right-handed pitchers and his home ballpark, Citizens Bank Park, which has a high home run park factor. Harper has hit 20 homers this season, with particular success hitting righties both overall and at home, making his matchup against Emmet Sheehan, a homer-prone right-handed pitcher, especially promising.

Harper's statistical profile supports his power potential; he ranks well among qualified batters in multiple metrics like barrels per plate appearance and exit velocity. Emmet Sheehan has allowed 15 home runs in 2026 and has a high home runs-per-nine-innings rate, making him vulnerable to giving up homers, especially to left-handed hitters like Harper. With Citizens Bank Park's reputation for favoring home runs, Harper’s chances, combined with the generous payout, make him a compelling pick for home run bettors.

The other recommended bet is on Ozzie Albies of the Atlanta Braves at +489 odds to hit a home run. Albies, a switch-hitting second baseman with 14 home runs this season, boasts solid numbers against left-handed pitching, including a 19.3% line-drive rate and a 40.3% fly-ball rate. His current matchup against JP Sears, a southpaw known for allowing home runs at both the Triple-A level and in the majors, enhances Albies’s chance to power a ball out of the park.

While Albies isn’t a leading home run hitter, his solid season and favorable matchup make the high payout tempting. Sears's 1.83 HR/9 rate and previous home runs allowed to right-handed batters underscore his susceptibility to the long ball. Together, these two bets provide intriguing options for home run prop bettors looking to capitalize on pitchers with homer-prone tendencies on July 20, 2026.

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