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Deals Front Office Sports Jun 22, 2026

Loaded NBA Draft Closes Old Lottery System After Tanking-Fueled Season

The 2026 NBA draft, set to be announced by commissioner Adam Silver on June 23, marks the end of the NBA’s old draft lottery system due to widespread tanking during the season. This draft is notably strong, considered one of the best in decades, and is the last to operate under the traditional rules until at least 2029. The league’s owners approved a new “3-2-1” lottery system in May, which aims to reduce tanking by leveling the odds so that teams with the fourth- to tenth-worst records have better chances at the top pick than the three worst teams, dubbed the "relegation zone." This system will remain in place through the 2029 draft before it can be revisited.

Tanking reached unprecedented levels this past season with about a third of teams deliberately underperforming to improve their draft positions. Commissioner Silver responded by fining teams like the Utah Jazz and Indiana Pacers for resting star players in certain games, citing this tactic as worse than seen in recent memory. The draft's deep class made targeting a lottery pick especially appealing beyond the top five selections, driving tanking behavior among multiple franchises. The Washington Wizards hold the coveted number one pick, with promising prospects like Darryn Peterson, AJ Dybantsa, and Cameron Boozer expected to be top choices.

One storyline to watch is AJ Dybantsa potentially joining the Utah Jazz at the number two pick, which would connect him to BYU, where he played college basketball and secured a lucrative NIL deal valued between $4 million and $7 million. Jazz owner Ryan Smith, a BYU alumnus with a net worth of $3.3 billion, has contributed significantly to the school's rise in prominence, including its entry into the Big 12 Conference. Although Smith has denied any direct involvement in Dybantsa's recruitment, they have met multiple times, and the player's connection to BYU and the Jazz adds an intriguing dimension to the draft.

The draft also highlights a surge in upperclassmen being selected, with projections showing at least 30 seniors drafted in 2026—a number that could break modern records. This uptick is largely due to the name, image, and likeness (NIL) era, which motivates fringe prospects to remain in college longer rather than enter the draft prematurely. While older players were once viewed as less desirable compared to younger talent, recent successful NBA careers of four-year players such as Jaime Jaquez Jr. have shifted perceptions, showing that experienced college players can be more NBA-ready. This change reflects evolving draft strategies and the growing impact of NIL on player development decisions.

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