The NFC East rivalry highlights the Week 1 Sunday Night Football matchup as the New York Giants host the Dallas Cowboys in New Jersey, with Dallas favored by 3 points. The close point spread suggests that the Cowboys may not rely heavily on passing throughout the game, while the Giants may pass more to catch up. This context drives the analysis of key player props, focusing on two contrasting bets: an under on tight end Jake Ferguson’s receiving yards for Dallas, and an over on quarterback Jaxson Dart’s rushing yards for New York.

Jake Ferguson, a secondary receiving option behind stars like CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, posted solid but unspectacular stats last season with 600 yards on 82 receptions across 21 games. His efficiency waned notably when Lamb was fully active, seeing fewer targets and yards per game. The Cowboys’ recent contract extension of young wide receiver Ryan Flournoy also limits Ferguson’s opportunities. Given Ferguson’s recent struggles to exceed even 20 receiving yards in multiple late 2025 games, the pick is for him to stay under 30.5 receiving yards on Sunday night.

Conversely, Jaxson Dart’s rushing ability provides a strong wager for the Giants against Dallas’s vulnerable pass rush. In his rookie season, Dart averaged over 40 rushing yards per game on around seven attempts, ranking ninth among quarterbacks in scramble yards in 2025. Dallas allowed the third-most scramble yards per game to quarterbacks last year, and the presence of elite defensive lineman Quinnen Williams has led the Cowboys to increase their pass rate significantly when he’s on the field. This suggests Dart will need to rely on his legs frequently, making the over on 30.5 rushing yards a compelling bet.

The contrasting props highlight differing offensive roles and strategic tendencies for the two teams. While Ferguson’s receiving output is expected to be limited by the Cowboys’ varied weapons and game flow, Dart’s dynamic scrambling fits the Giants’ underdog scenario and Dallas’s defensive adjustment needs. These nuanced player evaluations underscore how game context, player skill sets, and team strategies intersect to inform smart prop bets for this Week 1 Sunday Night Football showdown.