3 days ago
TechCrunch Nov 3, 2026

Hiding inside Palantir’s skyrocketing quarter is a foreboding signal

Palantir released an impressive third-quarter earnings report, reporting revenue of $2.31 billion—a 96% increase year-over-year and a 20% rise from the previous quarter—surpassing analyst expectations. The company’s adjusted earnings per share were 44 cents, slightly above the anticipated 41 cents. Notably, Palantir's U.S. commercial revenue exceeded its U.S. government revenue for the first time ever, reaching $984 million compared to $953 million, driven by a surge in enterprise customers adopting its AI software solutions.

The growth in Palantir’s enterprise sales has been propelled by companies eager to trial AI software capable of running advanced models securely, without exposing their data. Palantir’s model of forward-deployed software engineering—where its engineers collaborate directly with clients—also remains a standout advantage. However, CEO Alex Karp pointed out a shift in deal dynamics: contracts are becoming shorter and focused on rapid deployments, with many enterprises starting with trials before potentially expanding their agreements.

Despite the strong revenue growth, signs of caution emerged around the sustainability of Palantir’s enterprise bookings. Total contract value from U.S. enterprises declined from a record $2.13 billion in the previous quarter to $1.46 billion in the recent period. This drop indicates a possible slowdown in new sales momentum, raising questions about whether Palantir’s momentum as a leading enterprise AI provider can be maintained long-term.

Looking ahead, Palantir remains optimistic about its future performance, raising its full-year revenue guidance to signal growth of at least 91%, with U.S. commercial revenue expected to surpass $3.559 billion—a 143% increase. The upcoming fourth-quarter earnings will be critical in revealing whether Palantir can solidify its transformation from a government-centric software firm into a dominant enterprise AI company amid evolving contract trends and competitive pressures.

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